When dealing Blackjack how often do you hear the following 'You took the dealers bust card!' This situation sometimes gets very heated. Here is an example. Dealer is showing a 5 and one of the players hits on a hard 15. He receives a 10 and busts. Then the dealer goes on to make a hand when in fact he would have bust had the player played correctly and not taken that ten. Seems logical enough at first. But of course, that is only that one particular hand out of thousands. People forget all the other times when another player makes a wrong move, and it turns out to actually cause the dealer to bust. In fact, you cannot take 'the dealers bust card' unless you know the value of the next card out the shoe. And even then, it would still by no means be a certainty that the dealer would bust.
Imagine the following situation. -
A full table, second last spot has a 10 and a 5. Last spot also has a 10 and a 5. They both have 15. The dealer is showing a 5. Now, if either of those players draws to their 15s the rest of the players will get annoyed. But imagine, had the same cards been dealt but just in a slightly different order, giving the player on the second last spot the two 10s and the player on the last spot receiving both of the 5s, now of course everyone wants him to hit his two 5s! In fact they will get annoyed if he doesn't! But in reality, nothing has really changed, just the order of two cards. The next card out of the shoe is still the same card as before regardless of whether the player takes it or the dealer takes it. I realize it is bad play to hit on a hard 15 against the dealers 5, but that bad play rule only applies to the player actually making that particular hit. Nobody else is affected one way or the other by anything any other player does. Since the cards are random, the second card out of the shoe is just as likely to be the dealers 'bust' card as the first card out of the shoe. All of this assumes no card counting techniques, just straight play.
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I agree!!!
ReplyDeleteEvery situation has a % chance of the player winning. Whether it's 40% 60% or 100% other players play has no effect your %.
Let's take BJ against a 9. 100% right.
1 splits 10's: 2 doubles 5: 3 hits 20 and 4 stands on AA but you still win 100% of the time.
Amazing! Guess what; the same is true for 40 & 60%'s as well. Neil Glander
ps: Nice blog and great book Ray & Carol.